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AEA / Capital Survey

Date: 6/25-26


Added: 7/10/08

John McCain 49%

Barack Obama 36%

Unsure 15%





Here are the latest results from the Alaska poll by Research 2000


There were 600 voters polled on 7/14-16.


Date: 7/14-16


Added: 7/21/08

John McCain 51%

Barack Obama 41%

Unsure 8%




Rasmussen Reports

Date: 7/17


Added: 7/18/08

John McCain 47%

Barack Obama 37%

Unsure 11%

Other 5%


Last month, McCain had a nine-point lead. That number was an astonishing change from May, Prior to Hillary Clinton’s exit from the race, McCain led Obama by twenty-four points. The Clinton impact was bigger in Arkansas than anywhere else due to her lengthy tenure as the state’s First Lady.


Arkansas has cast its six Electoral College votes for Republican candidates in five out of the last seven Presidential elections. In 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a 54% to 45% margin. Nationally, Obama holds a modest edge over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free)… let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.


McCain is backed by 91% of Republicans in Arkansas Obama earns support from 67% of Democrats. Among unaffiliated voters, McCain leads 67% to 16%.




John McCain continues to enjoy a solid lead over Barack Obama in Georgia. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state shows McCain attracting 48% of the vote while Obama earns 39%. When leaners are included, McCain’s lead expands to eleven percentage points, 53% to 42%. These figures show little change in the race since late June.


In fact, this race has changed little all year. McCain has led by eight to fourteen points in each of the four previous surveys conducted by Rasmussen Reports in Georgia this year.


Libertarian candidate Bob Barr who served in Congress as part of Georgia’s Congressional delegation picks up 5% of the vote initially, but only 1% when “leaners” are included. This means that up to 5% of voters now say they would vote for Barr but when asked a follow-up question only 1% remain committed to the man some view as a potential spoiler for McCain’s hopes.




Southern Media / Opinion Research

Date: 6/26-28


Added: 7/3/08

John McCain 52%

Barack Obama 36%


Also, Sen. John McCain has a strong lead over Sen. Barrack Obama among Louisiana voters in the presidential race, according to the survey by Southern Media & Opinion Research.


The numbers indicate Landrieu might be better off if Obama did not campaign in Louisiana, partly because Landrieu's overall favorability rating is 53 percent among white voters while Obama's is only 26 percent, Pinsonat said. Obama's "very unfavorable" rating with white voters is 55 percent.


The poll checked the popularity of President Bush, who got a 56 percent overall favorability rating, higher than in recent national surveys.





Barack Obama may trace his roots to Kansas, but new polling data shows he’s not likely to win the state’s six Electoral College votes this fall.


Republican presidential candidate John McCain leads Obama 52% to 32% in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Kansas voters. When “leaners” are included, it’s McCain 58% and Obama 35%.


Those results are similar to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted in May. In between, a June survey showed Obama pulling within 10 points in Kansas. However, that poll was conducted shortly after he had clinched the Democratic presidential nomination.


Several surveys conducted during that period reflected a bounce for the presumptive Democratic nominee as he basked in the glow of his historic accomplishment. Obama still holds a modest lead nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.


In the new survey, McCain is viewed favorably by 66% of Kansas voters while Obama earns positive reviews from 44%. McCain’s numbers are up four points from a month ago while Obama’s are down five.


McCain wins 79% of the Republican vote; Obama is supported by 65% of Democrats. McCain now leads by 17% among unaffiliated voters. The two candidates were essentially even among unaffiliateds last month.


North Carolina


McCain led by two points last month and by three points in May. The two candidates were tied at 47% in April. North Carolina has voted for Republican candidates in nine out of the last ten Presidential elections. In 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a 56% to 44% margin. The race between Obama and McCain is also very close on the national level, where Obama is currently leading 44% to 42% in the Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll.


In the Tar Heel State, McCain is supported by 85% of Republicans and 18% of Democrats. Obama is backed by 69% of Democrats and just 7% of Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, Obama leads 43% to 33%.


McCain leads 48% to 39% among men, but trails Obama 44% to 42% among women.


Favorability ratings for both candidates have improved slightly over the past month. McCain is viewed favorably by 57%, up two points from last month, and unfavorably by 40%, down two points from last month. Obama’s numbers are 52% favorable, up from 49%, and 45% unfavorable, down from 50% last month.


Opinions about Obama are much stronger than those of McCain. Thirty-one percent (31%) have a Very Favorable view of the Democrat, while 29% have a Very Unfavorable view. McCain’s ratings are 23% Very Favorable and 16% Very Unfavorable.


Not surprisingly, the plurality of voters (47%) in North Carolina chooses the economy as the most important issue of Election 2008. National Security comes in a distant second with 28% of voters who believe that is the top issue.


Most voters nationwide believe high gas and oil prices are the biggest threat to the economy today. In North Carolina, 60% support the idea of drilling in offshore oil wells and 55% believe this practice would reduce the price of gas. Fifty-two percent (52%) think the U.S. should allow drilling in the Alaskan Wildlife Refuge, while 36% oppose this idea.


If anyone has other recent polling data please let me know.

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